Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Makareio Stadio

Cyprus
0 - 4
Norway

Kousoulos (46')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sorloth (33'), Haaland (65', 72'), Aursnes (81')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Cyprus and Norway, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cyprus

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Spain 6-0 Cyprus
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	5	11	15
2	Spain	4	13	9
3	Norway	5	-1	7
4	Georgia	5	-8	4
5	Cyprus	5	-15	0

Norway

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Norway 2-1 Georgia
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	5	11	15
2	Spain	4	13	9
3	Norway	5	-1	7
4	Georgia	5	-8	4
5	Cyprus	5	-15	0

Cyprus will be considered as major underdogs heading into Thursday's contest and will likely struggle to cope with a Norway side that have scored in 14 of their last 16 international since the start of 2022. Norway can ill-afford to drop points if they wish to keep their hopes of securing a top-two spot in Group A alive, but we feel that the visitors will have few problems claiming a comfortable victory in Larnaca. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 19.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.58%) and 1-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.

Result
Cyprus	Draw	Norway
19.28%	26.1%	54.62% ( 0)

Both teams to score 42.01% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.94% (

60.07% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.71% (

80.29% (

-0)

Cyprus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.97% (

46.03% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.26% (

81.74% (

-0)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.84% (

22.16% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.44% (

55.56% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Cyprus 19.28%

Norway 54.62%

Draw 26.09%

Cyprus	Draw	Norway
1-0 @ 7.92% 2-1 @ 4.63% 2-0 @ 3.07% 3-1 @ 1.2% 3-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.57% Total : 19.28%	1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 10.2% 2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0) Other @ 0.49% Total : 26.09%	0-1 @ 15.37% 0-2 @ 11.58% 1-2 @ 8.99% 0-3 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 4.51% 0-4 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.72% Total : 54.62%