Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Spain
3 - 0
Norway

Olmo (13'), Joselu (83', 85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Odegaard (41'), Sorloth (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Spain and Norway, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Spain could line up in Saturday's Euro 2024 qualification fixture with Norway.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions

Last Game: Morocco 0-0 Spain (3-0 pen.)
Tuesday, December 6 at 3pm in World Cup

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	3	1	6
2	Spain	3	6	4
3	Germany	3	1	4
4	Costa Rica	3	-8	3

Norway

All competitions

Last Game: Norway 1-1 Finland
Sunday, November 20 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Serbia	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

This has the potential to be a very tricky match for Spain, as Norway have a lot of talent in their ranks. The absence of Haaland is a huge boost for the home team, though, and we are backing La Roja to navigate their way to an important three points in their section opener. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 64.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Norway had a probability of 13.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.96%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Norway win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
Spain	Draw	Norway
64.63%	21.5%	13.87%

Both teams to score 43.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.45%

51.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.65%

73.34%

Spain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.73%

15.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.04%

43.96%

Norway Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.91%

48.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.7%

83.29%

Score Analysis

Spain 64.62%

Norway 13.87%

Draw 21.5%

Spain	Draw	Norway
1-0 @ 13.79% 2-0 @ 12.96% 2-1 @ 9.49% 3-0 @ 8.12% 3-1 @ 5.95% 4-0 @ 3.82% 4-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.18% 5-0 @ 1.44% 5-1 @ 1.05% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2% Total : 64.62%	1-1 @ 10.1% 0-0 @ 7.34% 2-2 @ 3.48% Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.5%	0-1 @ 5.38% 1-2 @ 3.7% 0-2 @ 1.97% 1-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.93% Total : 13.87%