Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
AEK Arena - George Karapatakis
Cyprus1 - 2Georgia
FT(HT: 1-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Armenia 2-2 Cyprus
Tuesday, March 28 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, March 28 at 4pm in International Friendlies
We said: Cyprus 0-2 Georgia
Without a key attacker in Sotiriou and going scoreless in three of their last four home games, the stage is set for a miserable Cypriot evening for Ketsbaia's troops against the ever-improving visitors. Fatigue may very well hamper both sides at the end of a taxing domestic campaign, but the only way is up for Georgia, who should pick up their first win in Group A at the second time of asking. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cyprus | Draw | Georgia |
21.55% ( -0.59) | 24.86% ( -0.87) | 53.58% ( 1.46) |
| Both teams to score 48.34% ( 1.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.65% ( 2.64) | 53.35% ( -2.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.11% ( 2.19) | 74.89% ( -2.19) |
| Cyprus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.34% ( 0.91) | 39.66% ( -0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.66% ( 0.83) | 76.34% ( -0.83) |
| Georgia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.12% ( 1.66) | 19.88% ( -1.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.01% ( 2.61) | 51.99% ( -2.61) |
| Score Analysis |
Cyprus 21.55%
Georgia 53.57%
Draw 24.86%
| Cyprus | Draw | Georgia |
| 1-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.59) 2-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.37% Total : 21.55% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.85)2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.68) 0-2 @ 10.28% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 5.54% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.37)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.22)0-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.21)1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0.24)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.74% Total : 53.57% |
How you voted: Cyprus vs Georgia
Cyprus
16.7%Draw
9.3%Georgia
74.1%54
