Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2023 at 5pm UK
Ullevaal Stadion
Norway1 - 2Scotland
The Match
Match Report
Scotland record a dramatic 2-1 victory over Norway in their Euro 2024 qualifier, coming back from the brink of defeat to prevail in Oslo.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Norway and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Georgia 1-1 Norway
Tuesday, March 28 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Tuesday, March 28 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Scotland win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Scotland in this match.
| Result | ||
| Norway | Draw | Scotland |
43.5% ( -0.34) | 26.73% ( 0.08) | 29.77% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 50.09% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.34% ( -0.2) | 54.65% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.01% ( -0.17) | 75.98% ( 0.17) |
| Norway Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.07% ( -0.26) | 24.93% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.44% ( -0.36) | 59.56% ( 0.36) |
| Scotland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.72% ( 0.08) | 33.28% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.11% ( 0.09) | 69.89% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Norway 43.5%
Scotland 29.77%
Draw 26.73%
| Norway | Draw | Scotland |
| 1-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.44% Total : 43.5% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 29.77% |
How you voted: Norway vs Scotland
Norway
52.9%Draw
12.9%Scotland
34.3%140
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2013 6pm
International Friendlies
Norway
0-1
Scotland
