Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Hampden Park
Scotland2 - 0Spain
The Match
Match Report
Scott McTominay scores twice as Scotland stun Spain to win 2-0 at Hampden Park in Tuesday's Euro 2024 qualifier.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Scotland and Spain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Tuesday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group A clash with Scotland.
Form, Standings, Stats
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Scotland 3-0 Cyprus
Saturday, March 25 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Saturday, March 25 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Scotland win was 1-0 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Scotland | Draw | Spain |
35.91% ( 0.86) | 27.62% ( 0.35) | 36.47% ( -1.21) |
| Both teams to score 48.97% ( -1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.2% ( -1.3) | 56.8% ( 1.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.26% ( -1.06) | 77.74% ( 1.06) |
| Scotland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.8% ( -0.1) | 30.2% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.65% ( -0.12) | 66.35% ( 0.12) |
| Spain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.15% ( -1.36) | 29.85% ( 1.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.07% ( -1.68) | 65.93% ( 1.68) |
| Score Analysis |
Scotland 35.91%
Spain 36.47%
Draw 27.61%
| Scotland | Draw | Spain |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.5) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 35.91% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.44)2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.61% | 0-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.47% |
How you voted: Scotland vs Spain
Scotland
20.6%Draw
15.0%Spain
64.4%253
Form Guide
