Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2023 at 5pm UK
Makareio Stadio
Cyprus1 - 3Spain
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Cyprus and Spain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Thursday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group A clash with Cyprus.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Georgia 4-0 Cyprus
Sunday, October 15 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Sunday, October 15 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
We said: Cyprus 0-4 Spain
De la Fuente may be tempted to tinker with a winning formula on Thursday against the group's basement boys, but while first place in the section is yet to be determined, the Spain head coach ought to go strong in the hope of another Cypriot crushing. The 4-0 scoreline certainly flattered Georgia in their recent contest with the hosts, but we can envisage an identical result in Limassol, where Spain should not suffer any similar scares en route to a seventh-straight win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 89.85%. A draw had a probability of 7.7% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 2.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-3 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.98%) and 0-4 (11.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.6%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (1.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cyprus | Draw | Spain |
2.44% ( -0) | 7.71% ( -0.02) | 89.85% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 32.13% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.48% ( 0.1) | 30.52% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.18% ( 0.12) | 51.82% ( -0.12) |
| Cyprus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 33.52% ( 0.05) | 66.48% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 6.38% ( 0.02) | 93.62% ( -0.02) |
| Spain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.83% ( 0.02) | 4.17% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 82.59% ( 0.07) | 17.41% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Cyprus 2.44%
Spain 89.83%
Draw 7.71%
| Cyprus | Draw | Spain |
| 1-0 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 1.31% Total : 2.44% | 1-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 7.71% | 0-3 @ 14.81% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 13.98% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 11.77% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 7.48% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.05% ( 0)1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0)1-4 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)0-6 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)0-7 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)1-6 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.76% Total : 89.83% |
How you voted: Cyprus vs Spain
Cyprus
13.5%Draw
11.5%Spain
75.0%52
Head to Head
Form Guide
