Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 16, 2023 at 5pm UK

Makareio Stadio

Cyprus
1 - 3
Spain

Pileas (75')
Correia (17'), Karo (59'), Kousoulos (77'), Spoljaric (87')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Yamal (5'), Oyarzabal (22'), Joselu (28')
Riquelme (82')

Manchester City suffer Rodri injury scare as midfielder misses Spain game

Manchester City are given a fresh injury scare to one of their first-team players, as Rodri was left out of the Spain squad to face Cyprus in Euro 2024 qualifying on Thursday.

Nov 16, 18:01

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Cyprus and Spain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Thursday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group A clash with Cyprus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cyprus

All competitions

Last Game: Georgia 4-0 Cyprus
Sunday, October 15 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	6	16	15
2	Scotland	6	9	15
3	Norway	7	2	10
4	Georgia	6	-4	7
5	Cyprus	7	-23	0

Spain

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Norway 0-1 Spain
Sunday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	6	16	15
2	Scotland	6	9	15
3	Norway	7	2	10
4	Georgia	6	-4	7
5	Cyprus	7	-23	0

De la Fuente may be tempted to tinker with a winning formula on Thursday against the group's basement boys, but while first place in the section is yet to be determined, the Spain head coach ought to go strong in the hope of another Cypriot crushing. The 4-0 scoreline certainly flattered Georgia in their recent contest with the hosts, but we can envisage an identical result in Limassol, where Spain should not suffer any similar scares en route to a seventh-straight win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 89.85%. A draw had a probability of 7.7% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 2.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-3 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.98%) and 0-4 (11.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.6%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (1.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
Cyprus	Draw	Spain
2.44% ( -0)	7.71% ( -0.02)	89.85% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 32.13% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.48% (

0.1)

30.52% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.18% (

0.12)

51.82% (

-0.12)

Cyprus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

33.52% (

0.05)

66.48% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.38% (

0.02)

93.62% (

-0.02)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.83% (

0.02)

4.17% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.59% (

0.07)

17.41% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Cyprus 2.44%

Spain 89.83%

Draw 7.71%

Cyprus	Draw	Spain
1-0 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 1.31% Total : 2.44%	1-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 7.71%	0-3 @ 14.81% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 13.98% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 11.77% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 7.48% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0) 1-4 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) 0-6 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 0-7 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 1-6 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.76% Total : 89.83%