Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de Sevilla
Spain2 - 0Scotland
Reaction
Andrew Robertson to return to Liverpool after shoulder injury
Scotland boss Steve Clarke confirms that Liverpool left-back Andy Robertson will return to his club after sustaining an injury in Thursday's defeat to Spain.
1 year ago
Barcelona confirm Alejandro Balde has adductor injury
Barcelona reveal that defender Alejandro Balde is facing a period on the sidelines due to the adductor injury that he suffered in Spain's win over Scotland.
1 year ago
Luis de la Fuente reacts to disallowed Scott McTominay goal
Spain head coach Luis de la Fuente says that his side would have still beaten Scotland on Thursday if Scott McTominay's goal had counted.
1 year ago
Steve Clarke: 'Scotland will not dwell on defeat to Spain'
Scotland boss Steve Clarke says that his side will not dwell on their 2-0 defeat to Spain in Seville on Thursday night.
1 year ago
The Match
Match Report
Alvaro Morata and Oihan Sancet register as Spain record a 2-0 win over Group A leaders Scotland in Thursday's Euro 2024 qualifier in Seville.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Spain and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Thursday's Euro 2024 qualifier against Scotland.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spain 6-0 Cyprus
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 21.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Scotland win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spain | Draw | Scotland |
54.35% ( 1.55) | 23.91% ( -0.39) | 21.73% ( -1.16) |
| Both teams to score 51.41% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.6% ( 0.34) | 49.4% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.55% ( 0.31) | 71.44% ( -0.31) |
| Spain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.92% ( 0.72) | 18.07% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.01% ( 1.22) | 48.99% ( -1.22) |
| Scotland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.75% ( -0.92) | 37.25% ( 0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.97% ( -0.92) | 74.03% ( 0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
Spain 54.35%
Scotland 21.73%
Draw 23.91%
| Spain | Draw | Scotland |
| 1-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.31)2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.41% Total : 54.35% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.91% | 0-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.67% Total : 21.73% |
How you voted: Spain vs Scotland
Spain
69.1%Draw
14.0%Scotland
16.9%178
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
Form Guide
Build-up
How Spain could line up against Scotland
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Thursday's Euro 2024 qualifier against Scotland.
1 year ago
Spain vs. Scotland head-to-head record
Ahead of Scotland's crucial Euro 2024 qualifier against Spain, Sports Mole looks at the past head-to-head record between the two nations.
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Spain boss Luis de la Fuente sends warning to Scotland ahead of Group A clash
Spain boss Luis de la Fuente sends a warning to Scotland ahead of Thursday's key Euro 2024 qualification fixture.
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