MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 21:21:54| >> :60:574:574:
San Marino national football team
Friendlies 2
Jun 11, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
Cyprus national football team

San Marino
1 - 4
Cyprus

Giocondi (81')
Giocondi (58'), Giocondi (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Satsias (45+2'), Kastanos (53', 54'), Kakoullis (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between San Marino and Cyprus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Marino

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Slovakia 4-0 San Marino
Wednesday, June 5 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Cyprus

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Moldova 3-2 Cyprus
Saturday, June 8 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Spain82021
2Scotland8917
3Norway8211
4Georgia8-68
5Cyprus8-250

We said: San Marino 0-2 Cyprus

 It would be a shock if Cyprus did not win this match, but they are not in the best of form, and we are therefore finding it difficult to predict a really comfortable success. That said, we are still expecting Ketsbaia's side to have more than enough to put a victory on the board. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cyprus win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cyprus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest San Marino win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cyprus would win this match.

Result
San MarinoDrawCyprus
32.34% (1.21 1.21) 25.89% (0.299 0.3) 41.76% (-1.509 -1.51)
Both teams to score 53.79% (-0.489 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.61% (-0.85400000000001 -0.85)50.39% (0.854 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.67% (-0.761 -0.76)72.33% (0.762 0.76)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.7% (0.383 0.38)29.3% (-0.385 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.73% (0.468 0.47)65.27% (-0.468 -0.47)
Cyprus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08% (-1.113 -1.11)23.91% (1.112 1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.87% (-1.616 -1.62)58.13% (1.616 1.62)
Score Analysis
    San Marino 32.34%
    Cyprus 41.75%
    Draw 25.89%
San MarinoDrawCyprus
1-0 @ 8.6% (0.38 0.38)
2-1 @ 7.55% (0.173 0.17)
2-0 @ 5.28% (0.287 0.29)
3-1 @ 3.09% (0.102 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.16% (0.139 0.14)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 32.34%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.01% (0.239 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 10.02% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.8% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-2 @ 7.17% (-0.224 -0.22)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.228 -0.23)
0-3 @ 3.42% (-0.225 -0.23)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.22% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 41.75%

How you voted: San Marino vs Cyprus

San Marino
27.8%
Draw
9.3%
Cyprus
63.0%
54
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
San Marino
0-4
Cyprus

Vitaioli (72')
Kousoulos (2', 73'), Papoulis (39'), Artymatas (75')
Mar 21, 2019 5pm
Group Stage
Cyprus
5-0
San Marino
Sotiriou (19' pen., 23' pen.), Kousoulos (26'), Efrem (31'), Laifis (56')

Simoncini (18'), Giardi (20'), Golinucci (20'), Palazzi (71')
rhs 2.0
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