San Marino1 - 3Saint Kitts
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, November 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Denmark | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Finland | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 6 | San Marino | 10 | -28 | 0 |
Sunday, November 19 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: San Marino 0-2 Saint Kitts and Nevis
San Marino will be desperate to end their 20-year wait for a second win in their history, but they do not have the quality to match Saint Kitts and Nevis, and we can only envisage an away win for the Sugar Boyz on Wednesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 63.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 15.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Saint Kitts and Nevis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Marino | Draw | Saint Kitts and Nevis |
15.73% ( -0) | 20.37% ( 0) | 63.9% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 51.99% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
