San Marino0 - 4Slovenia
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Finland | 5 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 5 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 5 | -3 | 3 |
| 6 | San Marino | 5 | -17 | 0 |
Thursday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Finland | 5 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 5 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 5 | -3 | 3 |
| 6 | San Marino | 5 | -17 | 0 |
We said: San Marino 0-4 Slovenia
With all due respect to San Marino, anything other than a high-scoring away win would be a big shock in Serravalle, so we expect Slovenia to cruise to a comfortable victory on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 85.13%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 3.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.11%) and 0-1 (11.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.05%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (1.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-4 win for Slovenia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Slovenia.
| Result | ||
| San Marino | Draw | Slovenia |
3.95% ( -0.03) | 10.93% ( -0.04) | 85.13% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 34% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
