Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Stozice
Slovenia4 - 2N. Ireland
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Slovenia 1-1 Denmark
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Finland | 4 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Kazakhstan | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | San Marino | 4 | -13 | 0 |
Last Game: N. Ireland 0-1 Kazakhstan
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Finland | 4 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Kazakhstan | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | San Marino | 4 | -13 | 0 |
We said: Slovenia 2-0 Northern Ireland
Having lost each of their last three matches without scoring, Northern Ireland look set to suffer another damaging defeat on Thursday, strengthening Slovenia's qualification hopes in the process. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slovenia | Draw | Northern Ireland |
43.49% ( 1.68) | 26.53% ( -0.41) | 29.98% ( -1.27) |
| Both teams to score 50.8% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
