Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 33

Apr 9, 2022 at 3pm UK

Tynecastle

Hearts
3 - 1
Hibernian

Halliday (45+1', 58'), Kingsley (47')
Haring (70')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Wright (5')
Doyle-Hayes (45+2'), Mueller (57'), Bushiri (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

Last Six:

Last Game: Rangers 2-0 Hearts
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Rangers	38	49	89
3	Hearts	38	10	61
4	Livingston	38	-5	49

Hibernian

Last Six:

Last Game: Hibernian 4-0 St Johnstone
Sunday, May 15 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Next Game: Hibernian vs. Clyde
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Motherwell	38	-19	46
7	Hibernian	38	-4	45
8	St Mirren	38	-18	44

The visitors have got a lot more to play for in this particular match, as they have the chance to secure a place in the top half of the table before it splits. Hearts will not make that an easy situation for them, and considering the extra quality that they have as a squad, they should be able to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 52.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 22.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Hibernian win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Hibernian
52.75%	24.59%	22.66%

Both teams to score 50.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.86%

51.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.01%

72.99%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.65%

19.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.87%

51.13%

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.67%

37.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.89%

74.11%

Score Analysis

Hearts 52.75%

Hibernian 22.66%

Draw 24.59%

Hearts	Draw	Hibernian
1-0 @ 11.86% 2-0 @ 9.74% 2-1 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 5.33% 3-1 @ 5.26% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-0 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.95% Total : 52.75%	1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 7.22% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.59%	0-1 @ 7.12% 1-2 @ 5.76% 0-2 @ 3.51% 1-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.55% 0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.68% Total : 22.66%