Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 64.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 14.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.24%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.