Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 59.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 17.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.