The Match
Match Report
Rasmus Hojlund proves the hero, coming off the bench to secure Denmark's 1-0 victory over Portugal in Thursday's UEFA Nations League quarter-final first leg.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Denmark and Portugal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Portugal could line up for Thursday's UEFA Nations League quarter-final first-leg clash with Denmark.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Serbia 0-0 Denmark
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 6 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Denmark | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Serbia | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Denmark had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Denmark win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Denmark | Draw | Portugal |
32.14% ( 0.21) | 25.75% ( -0.02) | 42.11% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 54.19% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.15% ( 0.17) | 49.84% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.15% ( 0.15) | 71.84% ( -0.15) |
| Denmark Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% ( 0.22) | 29.17% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.89% ( 0.27) | 65.1% ( -0.27) |
| Portugal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.5% ( -0.02) | 23.5% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.47% ( -0.02) | 57.53% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Denmark 32.14%
Portugal 42.11%
Draw 25.75%
| Denmark | Draw | Portugal |
| 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.14% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2% Total : 42.11% |
How you voted: Denmark vs Portugal
Denmark
10.0%Draw
12.1%Portugal
77.9%290
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Portugal
1-0
Denmark
Oct 14, 2014 7.45pm
Jun 13, 2012 5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
2-3
Portugal
Form Guide
Build-up
Portugal lineup vs. Denmark: Predicted XI for Nations League quarter-final first-leg clash
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Portugal could line up for Thursday's UEFA Nations League quarter-final first-leg clash with Denmark.
2 days ago
Denmark vs. Portugal: Should the Danes fear Cristiano Ronaldo's record ahead of Nations League clash?
Sports Mole takes a closer look at Cristiano Ronaldo's record for Portugal against Denmark, including overall wins, goals and assists.
2 days ago
