MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 13:27:55| >> :600:512966:512966:
Poland national football team
Nations League | League A
Oct 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Slaski
Portugal national football team

Poland
1 - 3
Portugal

Zielinski (78')
Walukiewicz (45+1'), Frankowski (51'), Piatek (88'), Skorupski (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Silva (26'), Ronaldo (37'), Bednarek (88' og.)
Neto (32')

The Match

Match Report

Cristiano Ronaldo scores his 133rd international goal in Portugal's 3-1 victory over Poland in the UEFA Nations League on Saturday night.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Poland and Portugal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Portugal could line up for Saturday's UEFA Nations League clash with Poland.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Croatia 1-0 Poland
Sunday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Portugal 2-1 Scotland
Sunday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 64.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Poland had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Poland win it was 2-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
PolandDrawPortugal
16.08% (1.873 1.87) 19.83% (1.112 1.11) 64.09% (-2.986 -2.99)
Both teams to score 54.69% (0.79 0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.95% (-1.258 -1.26)40.05% (1.257 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.58% (-1.316 -1.32)62.41% (1.314 1.31)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.02% (1.682 1.68)37.98% (-1.683 -1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.25% (1.594 1.59)74.74% (-1.595 -1.6)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.17% (-1.149 -1.15)11.82% (1.148 1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.93% (-2.51 -2.51)37.07% (2.509 2.51)
Score Analysis
    Poland 16.08%
    Portugal 64.08%
    Draw 19.83%
PolandDrawPortugal
2-1 @ 4.49% (0.442 0.44)
1-0 @ 4.35% (0.432 0.43)
2-0 @ 2.11% (0.294 0.29)
3-2 @ 1.55% (0.151 0.15)
3-1 @ 1.45% (0.201 0.2)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 16.08%
1-1 @ 9.28% (0.522 0.52)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.266 0.27)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.256 0.26)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.83%
0-2 @ 10.23% (-0.36 -0.36)
1-2 @ 9.91% (0.11 0.11)
0-1 @ 9.59% (0.115 0.12)
0-3 @ 7.28% (-0.617 -0.62)
1-3 @ 7.05% (-0.256 -0.26)
0-4 @ 3.89% (-0.531 -0.53)
1-4 @ 3.76% (-0.323 -0.32)
2-3 @ 3.41% (0.035 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.82% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-5 @ 1.66% (-0.317 -0.32)
1-5 @ 1.61% (-0.222 -0.22)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 64.08%

How you voted: Poland vs Portugal

Poland
23.3%
Draw
13.2%
Portugal
63.4%
287
Head to Head
Nov 20, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Portugal
1-1
Poland
Silva (34')
Silva (64'), Mario (90')
Pereira (63')
Milik (66' pen.)
Cionek (11'), Bednarek (28'), Frankowski (78')
Oct 11, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Poland
2-3
Portugal
Piatek (18'), Blaszczykowski (77')
Klich (48'), Krychowiak (62')
Silva (31'), Glik (43' og.), Silva (52')
Silva (37'), Carvalho (67'), Pepe (74'), Silva (78')
Jun 30, 2016 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Poland
1-1
Portugal
(Aggregate 1-1 | Portugal win 5-4 on penalties)
Lewandowski (2')
Jedrzejczyk (42'), Glik (66'), Kapustka (89')
Sanches (33')
Silva (71')
rhs 2.0
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