The Match
Match Report
Cristiano Ronaldo scores his 133rd international goal in Portugal's 3-1 victory over Poland in the UEFA Nations League on Saturday night.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Poland and Portugal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Portugal could line up for Saturday's UEFA Nations League clash with Poland.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Croatia 1-0 Poland
Sunday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Sunday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Poland | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Croatia | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Scotland | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 64.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Poland had a probability of 16.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Poland win it was 2-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Poland | Draw | Portugal |
16.08% ( 1.87) | 19.83% ( 1.11) | 64.09% ( -2.99) |
| Both teams to score 54.69% ( 0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.95% ( -1.26) | 40.05% ( 1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.58% ( -1.32) | 62.41% ( 1.31) |
| Poland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.02% ( 1.68) | 37.98% ( -1.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.25% ( 1.59) | 74.74% ( -1.6) |
| Portugal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.17% ( -1.15) | 11.82% ( 1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.93% ( -2.51) | 37.07% ( 2.51) |
| Score Analysis |
Poland 16.08%
Portugal 64.08%
Draw 19.83%
| Poland | Draw | Portugal |
| 2-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.44) 1-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.43)2-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.29)3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.14% Total : 16.08% | 1-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.52) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.27)0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.26)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.83% | 0-2 @ 10.23% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.11)0-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 7.28% ( -0.62)1-3 @ 7.05% ( -0.26)0-4 @ 3.89% ( -0.53)1-4 @ 3.76% ( -0.32)2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.07)0-5 @ 1.66% ( -0.32)1-5 @ 1.61% ( -0.22)Other @ 3.87% Total : 64.08% |
How you voted: Poland vs Portugal
Poland
23.3%Draw
13.2%Portugal
63.4%287
Head to Head
Nov 20, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Portugal
1-1
Poland
Oct 11, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Poland
2-3
Portugal
Jun 30, 2016 8pm
Form Guide
