World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 20, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade Robert Champroux
Gambia3 - 3Kenya
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Gambia and Kenya.
Form, Standings, Stats
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Tunisia 0-1 Gambia
Monday, November 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, November 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Gambia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Kenya win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gambia | Draw | Kenya |
38.68% ( 0) | 28.16% ( -0) | 33.16% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 47.05% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.95% ( -0) | 59.05% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.49% ( -0) | 79.51% ( 0) |
| Gambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.37% ( -0) | 29.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.33% ( -0) | 65.66% ( -0) |
| Kenya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.86% ( -0) | 33.14% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.26% ( -0) | 69.74% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Gambia 38.68%
Kenya 33.16%
Draw 28.16%
| Gambia | Draw | Kenya |
| 1-0 @ 11.94% 2-1 @ 8.02% 2-0 @ 7.27% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.46% Total : 38.68% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 9.82% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 10.84% 1-2 @ 7.28% 0-2 @ 5.99% 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.16% |
How you voted: Gambia vs Kenya
Gambia
29.4%Draw
35.3%Kenya
35.3%17
