World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 8, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Municipal de Berkane
Gambia5 - 1Seychelles
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gambia 2-3 Cameroon
Tuesday, January 23 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Tuesday, January 23 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Gambia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Last Game: Seychelles 0-5 Kenya
Monday, November 20 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Monday, November 20 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
We said: Gambia 2-0 Seychelles
Despite their struggles, Gambia should have enough quality to defeat an opponent that have won just once since 2016. Seychelles are on a 14-match losing run in World Cup qualifying, failing to score in nine of such games, and they are unlikely to prevent a 15th loss this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 72.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.3%) and 3-0 (10.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Seychelles win it was 0-1 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gambia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gambia | Draw | Seychelles |
72.26% ( -0.18) | 18.73% ( 0.04) | 9% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 36.99% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.8% ( 0.19) | 52.2% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.09% ( 0.16) | 73.9% ( -0.16) |
| Gambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.88% ( 0) | 13.12% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.24% ( 0.01) | 39.76% ( -0.01) |
| Seychelles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.57% ( 0.41) | 57.42% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 10.72% ( 0.23) | 89.27% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
Gambia 72.25%
Seychelles 9%
Draw 18.73%
| Gambia | Draw | Seychelles |
| 2-0 @ 15.53% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 15.3% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 72.25% | 1-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.32% Total : 18.73% | 0-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.31% Total : 9% |
How you voted: Gambia vs Seychelles
Gambia
50.0%Draw
28.6%Seychelles
21.4%14
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Friendlies 3
Gambia
8-1
Seychelles
