COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 9, 2023 at 5pm UK
King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
Malawi2 - 0Seychelles
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Malawi and Seychelles.
Form, Standings, Stats
COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Zambia 0-1 Malawi
Thursday, July 6 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Thursday, July 6 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Last Game: Seychelles 0-3 Comoros
Thursday, July 6 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Thursday, July 6 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 51.42%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 20.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Seychelles win it was 0-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malawi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malawi | Draw | Seychelles |
51.42% ( -0.28) | 27.93% ( 0.04) | 20.65% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 39.44% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
