Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 15, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade de Yamoussoukro
Senegal3 - 0Gambia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Senegal 1-0 Niger
Monday, January 8 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Monday, January 8 at 6pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gambia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Senegal 2-0 Gambia
The defending champions come into the tournament in excellent form and are worthy favourites to defend their crown. They have not conceded a single goal in over 400 minutes of football, and we fancy they will manage to shut out their opponents in this one as well and claim their first win of the competition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 67.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 10.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.12%) and 3-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.02%), while for a Gambia win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Senegal | Draw | Gambia |
67.27% ( -0.02) | 22.53% ( 0.01) | 10.2% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 31.97% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.85% ( -0) | 62.15% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.15% ( -0) | 81.85% ( 0) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.91% ( -0.01) | 18.09% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.98% ( -0.01) | 49.02% ( 0.01) |
| Gambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39.03% ( 0.02) | 60.97% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 8.86% ( 0.01) | 91.13% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Senegal 67.26%
Gambia 10.2%
Draw 22.52%
| Senegal | Draw | Gambia |
| 1-0 @ 18.85% 2-0 @ 16.12% 3-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.55% 4-0 @ 3.93% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.34% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.24% Total : 67.26% | 0-0 @ 11.02% 1-1 @ 9.33% ( 0)2-2 @ 1.97% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 5.46% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.31% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 1.08% Total : 10.2% |
How you voted: Senegal vs Gambia
Senegal
81.4%Draw
4.7%Gambia
14.0%43
