Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 15, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade de Yamoussoukro

Senegal
3 - 0
Gambia

Gueye (4'), Camara (52', 86')
Diallo (9'), Camara (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Adams (45+7')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Senegal and Gambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions

Last Game: Senegal 1-0 Niger
Monday, January 8 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	0	0	0
2	Cameroon	0	0	0
3	Guinea	0	0	0
4	Gambia	0	0	0

Gambia

All competitions

Last Game: Gambia 0-2 Ivory Coast
Monday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	0	0	0
2	Cameroon	0	0	0
3	Guinea	0	0	0
4	Gambia	0	0	0

The defending champions come into the tournament in excellent form and are worthy favourites to defend their crown. They have not conceded a single goal in over 400 minutes of football, and we fancy they will manage to shut out their opponents in this one as well and claim their first win of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 67.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 10.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.12%) and 3-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.02%), while for a Gambia win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.

Result
Senegal	Draw	Gambia
67.27% ( -0.02)	22.53% ( 0.01)	10.2% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 31.97% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.85% (

-0)

62.15% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.15% (

-0)

81.85% (

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.91% (

-0.01)

18.09% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.98% (

-0.01)

49.02% (

0.01)

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

39.03% (

0.02)

60.97% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.86% (

0.01)

91.13% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Senegal 67.26%

Gambia 10.2%

Draw 22.52%

Senegal	Draw	Gambia
1-0 @ 18.85% 2-0 @ 16.12% 3-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.55% 4-0 @ 3.93% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.24% Total : 67.26%	0-0 @ 11.02% 1-1 @ 9.33% ( 0) 2-2 @ 1.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.52%	0-1 @ 5.46% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.31% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 1.08% Total : 10.2%