We said: Gambia 1-3 Ivory Coast
Gambia have improved significantly over the last few years, but they face an Ivory Coast side in this one that are overflowing with talent. While we are not expecting another 9-0 victory as they managed last week, we do still feel that the Elephants will claim a fairly comfortable win in this match.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 19.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.47%) and 1-2 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Gambia win it was 1-0 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.