World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 18, 2023 at 7pm UK

Stade Leopold Sedar Senghor

Senegal
4 - 0
South Sudan

Sarr (1'), Mane (6', 56' pen.), Camara (45')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Mawith (29'), Maker (55')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Senegal and South Sudan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions

Last Game: Senegal 1-0 Cameroon
Monday, October 16 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	0	0	0
2	Cameroon	0	0	0
3	Guinea	0	0	0
4	Gambia	0	0	0

South Sudan

Last Game: Kenya 0-1 South Sudan
Tuesday, September 12 at 2pm in International Friendlies

We said: Senegal 3-0 South Sudan

Cisse's men are expected to secure a routine victory over South Sudan on Saturday, with the African champions possibly scoring a bucket load of goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 73.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 8.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.73%) and 3-0 (11.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.

Result
Senegal	Draw	South Sudan
73.85% ( -0.02)	18.11% ( 0.01)	8.04% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 34.98% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.42% (

-0.02)

52.57% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.77% (

-0.02)

74.23% (

0.01)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.23% (

-0.01)

12.76% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.96% (

-0.02)

39.04% (

0.02)

South Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

40.1% (

0.01)

59.9% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.4% (

0.01)

90.6% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Senegal 73.83%

South Sudan 8.04%

Draw 18.11%

Senegal	Draw	South Sudan
2-0 @ 16.19% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 15.73% 3-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.7% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.36% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.46% 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 73.83%	1-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.13% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.11%	0-1 @ 3.92% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.07% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.05% Total : 8.04%