Friendlies 1

Jun 20, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Jose Alvalade

Brazil
2 - 4
Senegal

Paqueta (11'), Marquinhos (58')
Lucas (60'), Militao (89'), Danilo (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Diallo (22'), Marquinhos (52' og.), Mane (55', 90+7' pen.)
Ciss (45'), Diatta (89'), Jackson (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Brazil and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Tuesday's international friendly against Senegal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Brazil 4-1 Guinea
Saturday, June 17 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	3	2	6
2	Switzerland	3	1	6
3	Cameroon	3	0	4
4	Serbia	3	-3	1

Senegal

All competitions

Last Game: Benin 1-1 Senegal
Saturday, June 17 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	3	4	7
2	Senegal	3	1	6
3	Ecuador	3	1	4
4	Qatar	3	-6	0

While Brazil eased to a comfortable victory against Guinea, they should expect a more difficult challenge from an experienced and star-studded Senegal side. However, we expect the Selecao to have too much quality for the African champions and come out on top at the Estadio Jose Alvalade. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Senegal had a probability of 15.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Senegal win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Brazil	Draw	Senegal
61.97% ( 18.01)	22.66% ( 0.2)	15.37% ( -18.21)

Both teams to score 44.16% (

-22.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.71% (

-19.36)

53.29% (

19.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.16% (

-19.06)

74.84% (

19.05)

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.25% (

-0.65)

16.75% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.32% (

-1.18)

46.67% (

1.17)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.05% (

-26.28)

46.95% (

26.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.55% (

-29.18)

82.45% (

29.18)

Score Analysis

Brazil 61.96%

Senegal 15.37%

Draw 22.66%

Brazil	Draw	Senegal
1-0 @ 14.05% ( 7.97) 2-0 @ 12.55% ( 7) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.74) 3-0 @ 7.48% ( 4.1) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.32) 4-0 @ 3.34% ( 1.8) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -2.06) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.63) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.96) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.69% Total : 61.96%	1-1 @ 10.62% ( 1.04) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 4.53) 2-2 @ 3.59% ( -3.31) Other @ 0.59% Total : 22.66%	0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.7) 1-2 @ 4.02% ( -3.54) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( -1.89) 1-3 @ 1.01% ( -2.96) 2-3 @ 0.9% ( -2.72) Other @ 1.24% Total : 15.37%