Brazil

4 - 1

Guinea

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 79.12%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 5.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 2-0 with a probability of 18.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.38%) and 3-0 (13.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.45%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.