Guinea1 - 0Gambia
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, January 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Senegal | 1 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Cameroon | 1 | 0 | 1 |
3 | Guinea | 1 | 0 | 1 |
4 | Gambia | 1 | -3 | 0 |
We said: Guinea 2-0 Gambia
Guinea were unlucky not to have got all three points against Cameroon in their opening match and will be eager to make amends for it in this one against a Gambia side that looked very poor against Senegal on Monday evening. We feel the National Elephants will put on another impressive display here and fancy them to secure their first win of the competition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 18.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.16%), while for a Gambia win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Guinea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Guinea.
Result | ||
Guinea | Draw | Gambia |
52.66% ( 0.53) | 28.92% ( -0.24) | 18.41% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 34.73% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
31.09% ( 0.36) | 68.91% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.47% ( 0.23) | 86.53% ( -0.24) |
Guinea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.97% ( 0.44) | 27.03% ( -0.44) |