World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 21, 2023 at 1pm UK

Francistown Stadium

Botswana
1 - 0
Guinea

Seakanyeng (79')
Ngele (22'), Mohutsiwa (45+3'), Seakanyeng (80'), Velaphi (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Diawara (45+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Botswana and Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botswana

Last Game: Botswana 2-3 Mozambique
Thursday, November 16 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Guinea

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Guinea 2-1 Uganda
Friday, November 17 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	0	0	0
2	Cameroon	0	0	0
3	Guinea	0	0	0
4	Gambia	0	0	0

With Guinea sitting 68 places above Botswana in FIFA's world rankings, there should only be one winner here, but Guinea made hard work of their victory against Uganda on home soil. As such, they are unlikely to run away with things against Botswana, but we expect the visitors to just about maintain their 100% record in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 44.94%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 24.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.7%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Botswana in this match.

Result
Botswana	Draw	Guinea
44.94% ( -0.2)	30.17% ( 0.06)	24.89% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 38.29% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32% (

-0.1)

68% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.07% (

-0.06)

85.94% (

0.07)

Botswana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.46% (

-0.16)

30.54% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.23% (

-0.19)

66.77% (

0.19)

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.14% (

0.07)

44.86% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.18% (

0.06)

80.82% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Botswana 44.94%

Guinea 24.89%

Draw 30.16%

Botswana	Draw	Guinea
1-0 @ 16.25% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.2% Total : 44.94%	0-0 @ 13.7% ( 0.05) 1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.35% Total : 30.16%	0-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 24.89%