MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 13:30:41| >> :120:17706:17706:
Zimbabwe national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2024 at 4pm UK
Peter Mokaba Stadium
Kenya national football team

Zimbabwe
vs.
Kenya

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Zimbabwe and Kenya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Zimbabwe 3-1 Namibia
Monday, October 14 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Kenya 0-1 Cameroon
Monday, October 14 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We say: Zimbabwe 1-1 Kenya

Kenya were impressive in the first two rounds of this competition, and while they lost both matches last month, those were very tough fixtures against African giants Cameroon. There was nothing to split these two in the reverse fixture in Kampala, and with this match being played at a neutral venue as well, we feel that another stalemate could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kenya win with a probability of 54.28%. A draw has a probability of 24.6% and a win for Zimbabwe has a probability of 21.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.37%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Zimbabwe win it is 1-0 (7.1%).

Result
ZimbabweDrawKenya
21.13% (-2.748 -2.75) 24.58% (-1.27 -1.27) 54.28% (4.012 4.01)
Both teams to score 48.59% (0.391 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.27% (2.188 2.19)52.73% (-2.193 -2.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.63% (1.839 1.84)74.36% (-1.844 -1.84)
Zimbabwe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.25% (-1.45 -1.45)39.74% (1.445 1.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.58% (-1.363 -1.36)76.41% (1.358 1.36)
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.64% (2.526 2.53)19.36% (-2.531 -2.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.85% (3.993 3.99)51.14% (-3.998 -4)
Score Analysis
    Zimbabwe 21.13%
    Kenya 54.28%
    Draw 24.58%
ZimbabweDrawKenya
1-0 @ 7.1% (-0.947 -0.95)
2-1 @ 5.38% (-0.487 -0.49)
2-0 @ 3.28% (-0.586 -0.59)
3-1 @ 1.65% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.01% (-0.228 -0.23)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 21.13%
1-1 @ 11.65% (-0.57 -0.57)
0-0 @ 7.69% (-0.69 -0.69)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 24.58%
0-1 @ 12.63% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 10.37% (0.697 0.7)
1-2 @ 9.57% (0.286 0.29)
0-3 @ 5.68% (0.778 0.78)
1-3 @ 5.24% (0.537 0.54)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.16 0.16)
0-4 @ 2.33% (0.47 0.47)
1-4 @ 2.15% (0.365 0.37)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.135 0.14)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 54.28%

Who will win Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Zimbabwe and Kenya?

Zimbabwe
Draw
Kenya
Zimbabwe
66.7%
Draw
29.2%
Kenya
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2024 2pm
Group Stage
Kenya
0-0
Zimbabwe
Odada (51')
Billiat (23'), Takwara (65')
Jul 2, 2024 11am
Group Stage
Kenya
2-0
Zimbabwe
Odhiambo (54'), Omala (73')

Banda (88')
Mar 26, 2024 3pm
Friendlies 1
Kenya
3-1
Zimbabwe
Olunga (45+1', 63', 87')
Odada (53'), Shichenje (90+4')
Odada (73')
Okumu (4' og.)
Hadebe (6')
Hadebe (56')
rhs 2.0
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8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
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20Southampton11119721-144


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