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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Zimbabwe national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2024 at 4pm UK
Orlando Stadium
Kenya national football team

Zimbabwe
1 - 1
Kenya

Maswanhise (32')
Garananga (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ayunga (52')
Omar (29'), Omurwa (29'), Saramu Momanyi (59'), Momanyi (59'), Nondi (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Zimbabwe and Kenya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zimbabwe

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Zimbabwe 3-1 Namibia
Monday, October 14 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Kenya

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Kenya 0-1 Cameroon
Monday, October 14 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Zimbabwe 1-1 Kenya

 Kenya were impressive in the first two rounds of this competition, and while they lost both matches last month, those were very tough fixtures against African giants Cameroon. There was nothing to split these two in the reverse fixture in Kampala, and with this match being played at a neutral venue as well, we feel that another stalemate could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 1-0 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
ZimbabweDrawKenya
21.85% (0.724 0.72) 25.21% (0.622 0.62) 52.94% (-1.34 -1.34)
Both teams to score 47.75% (-0.838 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.67% (-1.595 -1.6)54.33% (1.602 1.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.29% (-1.346 -1.35)75.71% (1.352 1.35)
Zimbabwe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.08% (-0.171 -0.17)39.92% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.42% (-0.157 -0.16)76.57% (0.163 0.16)
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.48% (-1.159 -1.16)20.52% (1.165 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.98% (-1.873 -1.87)53.02% (1.879 1.88)
Score Analysis
    Zimbabwe 21.85%
    Kenya 52.94%
    Draw 25.2%
ZimbabweDrawKenya
1-0 @ 7.52% (0.424 0.42)
2-1 @ 5.47% (0.091 0.09)
2-0 @ 3.45% (0.179 0.18)
3-1 @ 1.68% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.33% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.06% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 21.85%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 8.19% (0.499 0.5)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 12.97% (0.34 0.34)
0-2 @ 10.27% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-3 @ 5.42% (-0.254 -0.25)
1-3 @ 4.98% (-0.259 -0.26)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-4 @ 2.15% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 52.94%

How you voted: Zimbabwe vs Kenya

Zimbabwe
56.2%
Draw
21.9%
Kenya
21.9%
73
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2024 2pm
Group Stage
Kenya
0-0
Zimbabwe
Odada (51')
Billiat (23'), Takwara (65')
> Preview
Jul 2, 2024 11am
Group Stage
Kenya
2-0
Zimbabwe
Odhiambo (54'), Omala (73')

Banda (88')
Mar 26, 2024 3pm
Friendlies 1
Kenya
3-1
Zimbabwe
Olunga (45+1', 63', 87')
Odada (53'), Shichenje (90+4')
Odada (73')
Okumu (4' og.)
Hadebe (6')
Hadebe (56')
rhs 2.0
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