Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 14, 2024 at 5pm UK
Orlando Stadium
Zimbabwe3 - 1Namibia
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Zimbabwe and Namibia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Namibia 0-1 Zimbabwe
Thursday, October 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Thursday, October 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zimbabwe win with a probability of 35.07%. A win for Namibia had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 31.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zimbabwe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.99%) and 2-1 (6.61%). The likeliest Namibia win was 0-1 (13.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Zimbabwe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zimbabwe | Draw | Namibia |
35.07% ( 0.18) | 31.58% ( 0.06) | 33.35% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 38.15% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
