World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 11, 2024 at 2pm UK

Moi International Sports Centre

Kenya
0 - 0
Ivory Coast

Boga (53')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Kenya and Ivory Coast, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kenya

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Kenya 1-1 Burundi
Friday, June 7 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Algeria	3	6	9
2	Senegal	3	4	6
3	Kenya	3	-4	3
4	Tanzania	3	-6	0

Ivory Coast

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Ivory Coast 1-0 Gabon
Friday, June 7 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

We said: Kenya 1-2 Ivory Coast

Kenya are enjoying a good run at the moment, but Ivory Coast seem to be in a different league right now. The visitors are playing with the swagger of champions and have the quality to see off tight matches. Furthermore, this game will be taking place at a neutral ground, which means no home advantage for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 51.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 21.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.72%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Kenya win it was 1-0 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Kenya	Draw	Ivory Coast
21.64% ( 0.32)	26.91% ( -0.08)	51.46% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 42.98% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.55% (

0.53)

60.46% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.42% (

0.4)

80.59% (

-0.39)

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.34% (

0.64)

43.66% (

-0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.16% (

0.53)

79.85% (

-0.52)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.29% (

0.12)

23.71% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.16% (

0.17)

57.84% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Kenya 21.64%

Ivory Coast 51.46%

Draw 26.9%

Kenya	Draw	Ivory Coast
1-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.97% Total : 21.64%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.53% Total : 26.9%	0-1 @ 14.9% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 10.72% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 5.14% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 51.46%