Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 54.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 18.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ivory Coast in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ivory Coast.
