Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Round of 16

Jan 28, 2024 at 8pm UK

Laurent Pokou Stadium

Egypt
1 - 1
Congo DR

Mohamed (45+1' pen.)
Fathi (58'), Hamdy (66'), Attia (80')
Hamdy (97')

FT
(aet)

Elia (37')
Batubinsika (45'), Bongonda (102'), Mbemba (115')

Congo DR win 8-7 on penalties

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Egypt and Congo DR, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Cape Verde 2-2 Egypt
Monday, January 22 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Congo DR

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Tanzania 0-0 Congo DR
Wednesday, January 24 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

The seven-time AFCON champions have been far from impressive in this tournament, and there will be a fair few nerves heading into this match. While Congo DR have not set the stage alight in this competition, they have shown tremendous resilience and will likely try to keep this match level for as long as possible, which could open up gaps in the Egyptian defence on the counter-attack. This match could easily go the distance, but we are backing the Egyptians to progress when all is said and done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 14.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.65%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (6.46%).

Result
Egypt	Draw	Congo DR
61.79% ( -0.17)	23.9% ( 0.06)	14.31% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 38.77% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.7% (

-0.03)

59.3% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.3% (

-0.02)

79.7% (

0.02)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.99% (

-0.07)

19.01% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.42% (

-0.12)

50.58% (

0.12)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.88% (

0.15)

52.12% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.91% (

0.09)

86.08% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Egypt 61.78%

Congo DR 14.31%

Draw 23.89%

Egypt	Draw	Congo DR
1-0 @ 16.45% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 13.65% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 61.78%	1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.89%	0-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 14.31%