Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 17, 2024 at 8pm UK

Congo DR
1 - 1
Zambia

Wissa (27')
Kalulu (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kangwa (23')
Banda (55')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Congo DR and Zambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo DR

All competitions

Last Game: Congo DR 1-2 Burkina Faso
Wednesday, January 10 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Zambia	0	0	0
2	Morocco	0	0	0
3	Congo DR	0	0	0
4	Tanzania	0	0	0

Zambia

All competitions

Last Game: Zambia 1-1 Cameroon
Tuesday, January 9 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Zambia	0	0	0
2	Morocco	0	0	0
3	Congo DR	0	0	0
4	Tanzania	0	0	0

With Morocco being heavily fancied to top Group F, Congo DR and Zambia are expected to battle it out for the second automatic qualification spot, which makes getting a result here extremely important. Chipolopolo have the better form coming into this match, and with greater firepower in attack, we fancy them to edge this match, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Zambia had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Zambia win was 0-1 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Congo DR	Draw	Zambia
38.12% ( 0.4)	28.26% ( -0.07)	33.61% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 46.83% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.64% (

0.23)

59.36% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.25% (

0.18)

79.75% (

-0.18)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.89% (

0.36)

30.11% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.74% (

0.43)

66.25% (

-0.43)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.01% (

-0.1)

32.99% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.42% (

-0.11)

69.58% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Congo DR 38.12%

Zambia 33.61%

Draw 28.26%

Congo DR	Draw	Zambia
1-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.12%	1-1 @ 13.22% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.26%	0-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.61%