We said: Niger 0-2 Zambia
Niger did not disgrace themselves against Tanzania last time out, but another home clash against an in-form Zambia side will be a much sterner test.
The Copper Bullets look as if they could cause the majority of nations problems in CAF with the strike partnership of Daka and Sakala, meaning we expect the visitors to take maximum points on Tuesday night.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Niger had a probability of 21.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Niger win it was 1-0 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.