World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 15, 2023 at 4pm UK

Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecote

Congo DR
2 - 0
Mauritania

Wissa (62'), Bongonda (81')
Bakambu (84'), Inonga Baka (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Congo DR and Mauritania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo DR

All competitions

Last Game: Angola 0-0 Congo DR
Tuesday, October 17 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Zambia	0	0	0
2	Morocco	0	0	0
3	Congo DR	0	0	0
4	Tanzania	0	0	0

Mauritania

All competitions

Last Game: Mauritania 1-2 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Burkina Faso	0	0	0
2	Angola	0	0	0
3	Algeria	0	0	0
4	Mauritania	0	0	0

We said: Congo DR 2-0 Mauritania

Mauritania have suffered defeat in each of their previous four games against Congo DR and are in for another tough 90 minutes against the home side. Desabre's men boast the firepower needed to get this one over the line, and given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing them to come away with the desired results. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 46.44%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.12%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Congo DR in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Congo DR.

Result
Congo DR	Draw	Mauritania
46.44% ( -0.34)	30.81% ( 0.46)	22.75% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 35.39% (

-1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

29.32% (

-1.2)

70.68% (

1.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

12.33% (

-0.77)

87.66% (

0.76)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.88% (

-0.82)

31.12% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.56% (

-0.96)

67.44% (

0.96)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.38% (

-0.86)

48.61% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.32% (

-0.63)

83.68% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Congo DR 46.43%

Mauritania 22.75%

Draw 30.8%

Congo DR	Draw	Mauritania
1-0 @ 17.66% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.91% Total : 46.43%	0-0 @ 15.12% ( 0.65) 1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.26% Total : 30.8%	0-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.27% Total : 22.75%