Friendlies 3

Oct 17, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Stade Pere-Jego

Mauritania
1 - 2
Burkina Faso

Ibnou Ba (65')
Kabore (58'), Tanjy (70'), Anne (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Konate (18'), Aziz Ki (47')
Ouedraogo (42')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Mauritania and Burkina Faso.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritania

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Mauritania 2-1 Madagascar
Saturday, October 14 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Burkina Faso	0	0	0
2	Angola	0	0	0
3	Algeria	0	0	0
4	Mauritania	0	0	0

Burkina Faso

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Eq Guinea 0-0 Burkina Faso
Friday, October 13 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Burkina Faso	0	0	0
2	Angola	0	0	0
3	Algeria	0	0	0
4	Mauritania	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 45.01%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 23.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.1%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Mauritania	Draw	Burkina Faso
45.01% ( -0.78)	31.03% ( 0.47)	23.96% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 35.85% (

-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

29.37% (

-1.01)

70.63% (

1.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

12.36% (

-0.64)

87.64% (

0.64)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.12% (

-0.96)

31.88% (

0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.67% (

-1.12)

68.33% (

1.12)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.63% (

-0.31)

47.37% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.24% (

-0.23)

82.76% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Mauritania 45.01%

Burkina Faso 23.95%

Draw 31.03%

Mauritania	Draw	Burkina Faso
1-0 @ 17.26% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.82% Total : 45.01%	0-0 @ 15.1% ( 0.56) 1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.28% Total : 31.03%	0-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.39% Total : 23.95%