Friendlies 3

Oct 14, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Stade Al Bachir

Mauritania
2 - 1
Madagascar

Anne (28'), Tanjy (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Anicet (90+5')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Mauritania and Madagascar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritania

All competitions

Last Game: Mauritania 2-1 Gabon
Saturday, September 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	3	7
2	Gambia	3	2	7
3	Tunisia	3	2	3
4	Mauritania	3	-7	0

Madagascar

All competitions

Last Game: Angola 0-0 Madagascar
Thursday, September 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 44.67%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 25.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Madagascar win it was 0-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mauritania would win this match.

Result
Mauritania	Draw	Madagascar
44.67% ( -0.09)	29.57% ( 0.02)	25.76% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 40.23% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.07% (

-0)

65.94% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.46% (

-0)

84.54% (

0.01)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.36% (

-0.05)

29.64% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.32% (

-0.06)

65.68% (

0.06)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.17% (

0.06)

42.83% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.86% (

0.05)

79.15% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Mauritania 44.66%

Madagascar 25.76%

Draw 29.57%

Mauritania	Draw	Madagascar
1-0 @ 15.43% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.35% Total : 44.66%	1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.69% 2-2 @ 3.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.41% Total : 29.57%	0-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.07% Total : 25.76%