Friendlies 3
Oct 14, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stade Al Bachir
Mauritania2 - 1Madagascar
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Mauritania and Madagascar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mauritania 2-1 Gabon
Saturday, September 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Saturday, September 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Last Game: Angola 0-0 Madagascar
Thursday, September 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Thursday, September 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 44.67%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 25.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Madagascar win it was 0-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mauritania would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mauritania | Draw | Madagascar |
44.67% ( -0.09) | 29.57% ( 0.02) | 25.76% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 40.23% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
