Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

Madagascar
0 - 0
Ghana

Rakotoarisoa (27'), Amada (74'), Randrianiaina (79')

Abdul Samed (71'), Partey (81')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Madagascar and Ghana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Madagascar

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: CAR 2-0 Madagascar
Monday, March 27 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Ghana

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Angola 1-1 Ghana
Monday, March 27 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	2	6
2	South Korea	3	0	4
3	Uruguay	3	0	4
4	Ghana	3	-2	3

Ghana have enjoyed an unbeaten qualifying campaign and will be backing themselves against a Madagascar side who have won just one of their last seven matches. The Black Stars boast the firepower needed to get this one over the line and we fancy then picking up a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 69.86%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 9.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (16.26%) and 0-3 (9.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.62%), while for a Madagascar win it was 1-0 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Madagascar	Draw	Ghana
9.36% ( 0.2)	20.78% ( -0.16)	69.86% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 33.21% (

0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.49% (

0.98)

58.51% (

-0.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.91% (

0.76)

79.09% (

-0.75)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

39.49% (

1.02)

60.51% (

-1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.09% (

0.5)

90.91% (

-0.5)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.1% (

0.33)

15.9% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.87% (

0.59)

45.13% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Madagascar 9.36%

Ghana 69.85%

Draw 20.78%

Madagascar	Draw	Ghana
1-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.08% Total : 9.36%	0-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.36) 1-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.78%	0-1 @ 17.69% ( -0.46) 0-2 @ 16.26% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 9.97% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 4.59% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.09) 0-5 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.92% Total : 69.85%