Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 20, 2023 at 7pm UK

Stade d'Agadir

Sudan
0 - 3
Mauritania

Abaker (35')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mohamed El Abd (26'), Hacen Houeibib (49'), Tanjy (55')
Mahmoud (41')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Sudan and Mauritania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sudan

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Sudan 1-0 Gabon
Monday, March 27 at 9pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Mauritania

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Mauritania 1-1 Congo DR
Tuesday, March 28 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	3	7
2	Gambia	3	2	7
3	Tunisia	3	2	3
4	Mauritania	3	-7	0

We expect both teams to adopt a cautious approach here, giving rise to a nervy and cagey affair. That said, we can see the sides cancelling each other out to settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudan win with a probability of 36.45%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 31.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.33%) and 2-1 (6.85%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 0-1 (13.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Sudan	Draw	Mauritania
36.45% ( -5.56)	31.31% ( 9.69)	32.24% ( -4.13)

Both teams to score 38.69% (

-32.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

30.93% (

-40.22)

69.07% (

40.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.36% (

-36.84)

86.63% (

36.83)

Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.72% (

-21.49)

36.28% (

21.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.94% (

-30.01)

73.06% (

30.01)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.71% (

-22.26)

39.29% (

22.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.01% (

-28.82)

75.99% (

28.82)

Score Analysis

Sudan 36.45%

Mauritania 32.23%

Draw 31.31%

Sudan	Draw	Mauritania
1-0 @ 14.45% ( 9.64) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( 2.73) 2-1 @ 6.85% ( -1.3) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.45) 3-1 @ 2.31% ( -2.87) 3-2 @ 1.08% ( -3.51) Other @ 1.96% Total : 36.45%	0-0 @ 14.25% ( 11.73) 1-1 @ 13.5% ( 4.98) 2-2 @ 3.2% ( -4.01) Other @ 0.36% Total : 31.31%	0-1 @ 13.31% ( 8.85) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -1.24) 0-2 @ 6.22% ( 2.27) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -2.49) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 1% ( -3.26) Other @ 1.5% Total : 32.23%