Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 27, 2023 at 9pm UK

Sudan
1 - 0
Gabon

Kome (67')
Hashem (12'), Nemer (40'), Eldin Ali (78'), Mohamedein (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kanga (61')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Sudan and Gabon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sudan

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Gabon 1-0 Sudan
Thursday, March 23 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Gabon

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Gabon 1-0 Sudan
Thursday, March 23 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 49.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 22.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Sudan win it was 1-0 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Sudan	Draw	Gabon
22.98% ( 0.14)	27.64% ( 0.13)	49.38% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 42.58% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.25% (

-0.31)

61.74% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.45% (

-0.23)

81.54% (

0.23)

Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.96% (

-0.04)

43.03% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.68% (

-0.03)

79.32% (

0.03)

Gabon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.75% (

-0.27)

25.24% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40% (

-0.37)

59.99% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Sudan 22.98%

Gabon 49.37%

Draw 27.63%

Sudan	Draw	Gabon
1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.49% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.04% Total : 22.98%	1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.51% Total : 27.63%	0-1 @ 14.95% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 10.29% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.72% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.07% Total : 49.37%