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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Burkina Faso national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Round of 16
Jan 23, 2022 at 4pm UK
 
Gabon national football team

Burkina Faso
1 - 1
Gabon

Traore (28')
Guira (9'), Toure (22'), Kabore (70'), Simpore (88'), Konate (90'), Tapsoba (102')
FT
(aet)
Guira (90+1' og.)
Allevinah (7'), Obissa (16'), Boupendza (18'), Poko (58'), Ecuele Manga (67'), Bouanga (68'), Mfa Mezui (103')
Obissa (67')
Burkina Faso win 7-6 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Burkina Faso and Gabon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We say: Burkina Faso 2-1 Gabon

 We anticipate a very open contest with the result tipping either way as both sides, who are evenly matched on paper, head into the game in similar form. However, we predict Burkina Faso will nick the win as they boast the experienced players needed at this stage of the tournament. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 43.66%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Gabon had a probability of 27.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Gabon win it was 0-1 (10.42%).

Result
Burkina FasoDrawGabon
43.66%28.65%27.69%
Both teams to score 43.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.72%62.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.06%81.94%
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.61%28.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.87%64.13%
Gabon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.95%39.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.23%75.76%
Score Analysis
    Burkina Faso 43.66%
    Gabon 27.68%
    Draw 28.64%
Burkina FasoDrawGabon
1-0 @ 13.95%
2-0 @ 8.79%
2-1 @ 8.27%
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-1 @ 3.47%
3-2 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.16%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 43.66%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 3.89%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.64%
0-1 @ 10.42%
1-2 @ 6.17%
0-2 @ 4.9%
1-3 @ 1.94%
0-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 27.68%

How you voted: Burkina Faso vs Gabon

Burkina Faso
56.1%
Draw
17.1%
Gabon
26.8%
41
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2019 6pm
International Friendlies
Burkina Faso
0-1
Gabon
Aubameyang (84' pen.)
Jan 18, 2017 4pm
Group Stage
Gabon
1-1
Burkina Faso
Aubameyang (38')
Nakoulma (23')
Kouakou (37')
Jan 17, 2015 7pm
Group Stage
Burkina Faso
0-2
Gabon
Aubameyang (19'), Evouna (72')
Ndong (40'), Bulot (53'), Obiang (77')
> Match Report
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