Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 17, 2022 at 4pm UK

Burkina Faso
1 - 1
Ethiopia

Bayala (24')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kebede (52' pen.)
Endashaw (36'), Kebede (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Burkina Faso and Ethiopia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Burkina Faso 2-1 Ethiopia

Burkina Faso were impressive in their last involvement and will back themselves to heap more misery on an out-of-form Ethiopia side. We expect Burkina Faso to get the job done and progress into the last 16. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 21.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.72%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 0-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Burkina Faso	Draw	Ethiopia
50.1%	28.65%	21.24%

Both teams to score 38.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34%

66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.42%

84.58%

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.13%

26.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.82%

62.18%

Ethiopia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.64%

47.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.25%

82.75%

Score Analysis

Burkina Faso 50.09%

Ethiopia 21.25%

Draw 28.64%

Burkina Faso	Draw	Ethiopia
1-0 @ 16.72% 2-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 8.21% 3-0 @ 4.81% 3-1 @ 3.6% 4-0 @ 1.58% 3-2 @ 1.35% 4-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.66% Total : 50.09%	0-0 @ 12.72% 1-1 @ 12.49% 2-2 @ 3.07% Other @ 0.36% Total : 28.64%	0-1 @ 9.51% 1-2 @ 4.67% 0-2 @ 3.56% 1-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.34% Total : 21.25%