Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 18, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)

Ivory Coast
0 - 1
Nigeria

FT(HT: 0-0)

Troost-Ekong (55' pen.)
Nwabali (90+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Ivory Coast and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Ivory Coast 2-0 Guinea-Bissau
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	1	2	3
2	Equatorial Guinea	1	0	1
3	Nigeria	1	0	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	1	-2	0

Nigeria

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Nigeria 1-1 Eq Guinea
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	1	2	3
2	Equatorial Guinea	1	0	1
3	Nigeria	1	0	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	1	-2	0

We said: Ivory Coast 2-2 Nigeria

Ivory Coast head into this one with sky-high confidence following their solid display against Guinea-Bissau. However, we expect their defence to be put to the test on Thursday, given Nigeria's talented attacking unit led by Osimhen. We predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 62.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Nigeria had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Nigeria win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Ivory Coast	Draw	Nigeria
62.22% ( -0.7)	21.7% ( 0.28)	16.08% ( 0.42)

Both teams to score 48.49% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.71% (

-0.41)

48.29% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.57% (

-0.37)

70.43% (

0.37)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.04% (

-0.36)

14.96% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.62% (

-0.68)

43.38% (

0.68)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.02% (

0.31)

42.98% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.72% (

0.26)

79.28% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Ivory Coast 62.21%

Nigeria 16.08%

Draw 21.69%

Ivory Coast	Draw	Nigeria
1-0 @ 12.21% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 11.6% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.31% Total : 62.21%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.82% Total : 21.69%	0-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.61% Total : 16.08%