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Equatorial Guinea national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 22, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)
Ivory Coast national football team

Eq Guinea
4 - 0
Ivory Coast

Nsue (42', 75'), Ganet (73'), Buyla (88')
Miranda (12'), Owono (45+5'), Eneme (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kouame (45+5'), Boly (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Equatorial Guinea and Ivory Coast, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Eq Guinea 4-2 Guinea-Bissau
Thursday, January 18 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Ivory Coast 0-1 Nigeria
Thursday, January 18 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We said: Equatorial Guinea 1-1 Ivory Coast

Despite the undoubted home support, Equatorial Guinea could nick a point against an Ivorian side that went down in many observers' estimation after a disappointing defeat to Nigeria. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 42.96%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 27.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 1-2 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 1-0 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Equatorial GuineaDrawIvory Coast
27.39% (1.694 1.69) 29.65% (0.702 0.7) 42.96% (-2.395 -2.4)
Both teams to score 41.01% (-0.641 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.53% (-1.34 -1.34)65.47% (1.341 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.78% (-0.941 -0.94)84.22% (0.94199999999999 0.94)
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.88% (0.725 0.73)41.11% (-0.724 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.34% (0.637 0.64)77.66% (-0.63600000000001 -0.64)
Ivory Coast Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.65% (-1.97 -1.97)30.35% (1.97 1.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.46% (-2.414 -2.41)66.54% (2.415 2.42)
Score Analysis
    Equatorial Guinea 27.39%
    Ivory Coast 42.95%
    Draw 29.64%
Equatorial GuineaDrawIvory Coast
1-0 @ 11.09% (0.75 0.75)
2-1 @ 5.88% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 4.93% (0.421 0.42)
3-1 @ 1.74% (0.092 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.46% (0.151 0.15)
3-2 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 27.39%
1-1 @ 13.22% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 12.47% (0.6 0.6)
2-2 @ 3.5% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 29.64%
0-1 @ 14.87% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 8.87% (-0.547 -0.55)
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.322 -0.32)
0-3 @ 3.53% (-0.428 -0.43)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.311 -0.31)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.194 -0.19)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 42.95%

How you voted: Eq Guinea vs Ivory Coast

Equatorial Guinea
30.0%
Draw
12.5%
Ivory Coast
57.5%
40
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Eq Guinea
0-1
Ivory Coast

Nlavo (67')
Gradel (5')
Sangare (31')
rhs 2.0
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