Eq Guinea

4 - 0

Ivory Coast

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 42.96%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 27.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 1-2 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 1-0 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.