Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 39.83%. A draw had a probability of 33.4% and a win for Namibia had a probability of 26.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.57%) and 2-1 (6.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.86%), while for a Namibia win it was 0-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Equatorial Guinea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Equatorial Guinea.
1.43) 
-1.69) 
