World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 7, 2024 at 8pm UK

Amadou Gon Coulibaly Stadium

Ivory Coast
1 - 0
Gabon

Fofana (36')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Aubameyang (57'), Ekomie (57')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Ivory Coast and Gabon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Ivory Coast 2-1 Uruguay
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Gabon

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Gabon 1-1 Congo
Monday, March 25 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

We said: Ivory Coast 2-1 Gabon

Undoubtedly the biggest fixture in this group, both sides will be hoping to sustain their unbeaten run. However, Ivory Coast will have the home support to their advantage and this might help them edge it against a stubborn Gabonese team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 65.03%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Gabon had a probability of 14.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Gabon win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result
Ivory Coast	Draw	Gabon
65.03% ( -0.06)	20% ( 0.02)	14.97% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 51.39% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.93% (

43.07% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.52%

65.47% (

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.53% (

-0.01)

12.47% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.57% (

-0.03)

38.43% (

0.04)

Gabon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.71% (

0.05)

41.29% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.19% (

0.05)

77.81% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Ivory Coast 65.01%

Gabon 14.97%

Draw 20%

Ivory Coast	Draw	Gabon
2-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.85% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 65.01%	1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.15% 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 1% Total : 20%	0-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.69% Total : 14.97%