Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 4, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Ben Ahmed El Abdi
Comoros1 - 1Gambia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Comoros 2-2 Mozambique (1-3 pen.)
Sunday, July 7 at 11am in COSAFA Cup
Sunday, July 7 at 11am in COSAFA Cup
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
We said: Comoros 1-2 Gambia
While the Comoros enter this match with slightly better form, Gambia have made significant strides forward in recent years and have a few big names arriving in Casablanca for these qualifiers. We are expecting a closing contested opening match here but fancy the Scorpions to come away with the victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Comoros had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.31%) and 1-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Comoros win was 1-0 (12.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Comoros | Draw | Gambia |
32.67% ( -1.29) | 30.47% ( 0) | 36.86% ( 1.3) |
| Both teams to score 40.78% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.36% ( -0.09) | 66.64% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.98% ( -0.06) | 85.02% ( 0.06) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.42% ( -0.98) | 37.58% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.64% ( -0.98) | 74.36% ( 0.98) |
| Gambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.33% ( 0.82) | 34.67% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.6% ( 0.86) | 71.4% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
Comoros 32.67%
Gambia 36.86%
Draw 30.46%
| Comoros | Draw | Gambia |
| 1-0 @ 12.75% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.74% Total : 32.67% | 1-1 @ 13.5% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.46% | 0-1 @ 13.8% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.34)1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.86% |
How you voted: Comoros vs Gambia
Comoros
34.7%Draw
14.3%Gambia
51.0%49
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2021 3pm
Friendlies 3
Comoros
0-0
Gambia
