World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 11, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade Municipal

Chad
0 - 2
Comoros

Ndonane (46')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Maolida (59'), Fardou Ben (76')
Mohamed (90')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Chad and Comoros, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chad

Last Game: CAR 1-0 Chad
Wednesday, June 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Comoros

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Madagascar 2-1 Comoros
Friday, June 7 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Chad have been found wanting at both ends of the pitch across their three qualifiers, and it is hard to see them coming away with a positive result here despite playing on home turf. We are backing Comoros to get the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 45.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Chad had a probability of 25.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Chad win it was 1-0 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Comoros would win this match.

Result
Chad	Draw	Comoros
25.32% ( -0.17)	28.94% ( -0.06)	45.74% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 41.41% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.7% (

0.08)

64.29% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.61% (

0.06)

83.39% (

-0.06)

Chad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.72% (

-0.12)

42.28% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.32% (

-0.1)

78.67% (

0.1)

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.74% (

0.16)

28.26% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.03% (

0.2)

63.97% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Chad 25.31%

Comoros 45.74%

Draw 28.92%

Chad	Draw	Comoros
1-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 1.12% Total : 25.31%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.94% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0) Other @ 0.46% Total : 28.92%	0-1 @ 15.09% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.56% Total : 45.74%