World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade 26 Mars
Mali3 - 1Chad
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mouandilmadji (53')
Ngartolabaye (64'), Abdallah (74')
Ngartolabaye (64'), Abdallah (74')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-3 Mali
Tuesday, October 17 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, October 17 at 4pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Tunisia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mali | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | South Africa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Namibia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Chad 0-1 Sudan
Tuesday, October 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, October 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies
We said: Mali 3-1 Chad
Mali have been imperious on home turf over the last couple of matches, and they will be heavily fancied to come out on top here. We can see them coming away with maximum points from what should be a largely one-sided affair. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 95.85%. A draw had a probability of 3.7% and a win for Chad had a probability of 0.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 3-0 with a probability of 17.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (16.4%) and 2-0 (14.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (2.17%), while for a Chad win it was 0-1 (0.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Mali in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mali.
| Result | ||
| Mali | Draw | Chad |
95.85% ( -1.33) | 3.65% ( 1.04) | 0.5% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 14.44% ( 5.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
