MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:43:21| >> :60:2183:2183:
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World Cup
Chad national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade Municipal
Madagascar national football team

Chad
0 - 3
Madagascar


Moral (34')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rakotoharimalala (10', 84'), Lapoussin (90+1')
Couturier (58'), Boto (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Chad and Madagascar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chad

Last Game: Mali 3-1 Chad
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Madagascar

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Ghana 1-0 Madagascar
Friday, November 17 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Chad 0-1 Madagascar

 Both teams have struggled on the offensive end of late, and we can see Monday's game yielding more of the same. That said, we are backing Madagascar to emerge victorious in the end, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 85%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Chad had a probability of 4.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.79%) and 0-1 (10.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.09%), while for a Chad win it was 1-0 (1.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Madagascar would win this match.

Result
ChadDrawMadagascar
4.11% (-0.017 -0.02) 10.89% (-0.028 -0.03) 85% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 35.58% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.26% (0.053999999999995 0.05)36.74% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.1% (0.058999999999997 0.06)58.9% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Chad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
37.93% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)62.08% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.33% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)91.68% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.82% (0.022999999999996 0.02)6.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.62% (0.057000000000002 0.06)23.38% (-0.055 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Chad 4.11%
    Madagascar 84.98%
    Draw 10.89%
ChadDrawMadagascar
1-0 @ 1.83% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 1.21% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 4.11%
1-1 @ 5.09% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.84% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-2 @ 1.69% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 10.89%
0-2 @ 14.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 13.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 10.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 9.6% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 5.35% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 4.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-5 @ 2.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-6 @ 2.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-6 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-7 @ 0.99% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 84.98%

How you voted: Chad vs Madagascar

Chad
20.7%
Draw
20.7%
Madagascar
58.6%
29
rhs 2.0
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