MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:26:25| >> :60:1167:1167:
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World Cup
Ghana national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2023 at 4pm UK
Baba Yara Stadium
Madagascar national football team

Ghana
1 - 0
Madagascar

Williams (90+6')
Kudus (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Razafindrabe (51'), Raveloson (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Ghana and Madagascar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ghana

All competitions
Last Game: USA 4-0 Ghana
Wednesday, October 18 at 1.30am in International Friendlies

Madagascar

All competitions
Last Game: Madagascar 2-1 Benin
Tuesday, October 17 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Ghana 2-1 Madagascar

 While the visitors are the clear underdogs heading into this match, it is worth noting that they are unbeaten in their last two matches against this opponent. However, both of those matches were on their home patch. We are still expecting a whole-hearted performance from Barea but feel that the Black Stars will make their home-ground advantage count by coming out as narrow winners. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 69.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 9.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.8%) and 3-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.13%), while for a Madagascar win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ghana in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ghana.

Result
GhanaDrawMadagascar
69.48% (-1.205 -1.21) 20.69% (0.595 0.59) 9.83% (0.6171 0.62)
Both teams to score 34.89% (0.579 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.87% (-0.566 -0.57)57.14% (0.57400000000001 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22% (-0.451 -0.45)78.01% (0.45999999999999 0.46)
Ghana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (-0.572 -0.57)15.56% (0.581 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.5% (-1.086 -1.09)44.5% (1.094 1.09)
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.31% (0.959 0.96)58.69% (-0.951 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.04% (0.507 0.51)89.97% (-0.498 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Ghana 69.47%
    Madagascar 9.83%
    Draw 20.69%
GhanaDrawMadagascar
1-0 @ 16.98% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 15.8% (-0.3 -0.3)
3-0 @ 9.8% (-0.387 -0.39)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.22% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 4.56% (-0.278 -0.28)
4-1 @ 2.43% (-0.07 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.7% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.39% (0.031 0.03)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 69.47%
0-0 @ 9.13% (0.199 0.2)
1-1 @ 9.05% (0.289 0.29)
2-2 @ 2.24% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 20.69%
0-1 @ 4.87% (0.249 0.25)
1-2 @ 2.41% (0.147 0.15)
0-2 @ 1.3% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 9.83%

How you voted: Ghana vs Madagascar

Ghana
84.8%
Draw
9.1%
Madagascar
6.1%
33
Head to Head
Jun 18, 2023 3pm
Group Stage
Madagascar
0-0
Ghana
Rakotoarisoa (27'), Amada (74'), Randrianiaina (79')
Abdul Samed (71'), Partey (81')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Madagascar
2-1
Ghana
Razafindranaivo (10'), Randriatsiferana (61')
Agyapong (67')
> Preview
Jun 1, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Ghana
3-0
Madagascar
Kudus (53'), Afena-Gyan (56'), Bukari (86')
Amartey (90+1')

Mombris (65')
> Preview
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