World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 17, 2023 at 4pm UK

Baba Yara Stadium

Ghana
1 - 0
Madagascar

Williams (90+6')
Kudus (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Razafindrabe (51'), Raveloson (77')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Ghana and Madagascar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ghana

All competitions

Last Game: USA 4-0 Ghana
Wednesday, October 18 at 1.30am in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	0	0	0
2	Ghana	0	0	0
3	Egypt	0	0	0
4	Mozambique	0	0	0

Madagascar

All competitions

Last Game: Madagascar 2-1 Benin
Tuesday, October 17 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

While the visitors are the clear underdogs heading into this match, it is worth noting that they are unbeaten in their last two matches against this opponent. However, both of those matches were on their home patch. We are still expecting a whole-hearted performance from Barea but feel that the Black Stars will make their home-ground advantage count by coming out as narrow winners. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 69.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 9.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.8%) and 3-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.13%), while for a Madagascar win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ghana in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ghana.

Result
Ghana	Draw	Madagascar
69.48% ( -1.21)	20.69% ( 0.59)	9.83% ( 0.62)

Both teams to score 34.89% (

0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.87% (

-0.57)

57.14% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22% (

-0.45)

78.01% (

0.46)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.45% (

-0.57)

15.56% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.5% (

-1.09)

44.5% (

1.09)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.31% (

0.96)

58.69% (

-0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.04% (

0.51)

89.97% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

Ghana 69.47%

Madagascar 9.83%

Draw 20.69%

Ghana	Draw	Madagascar
1-0 @ 16.98% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 15.8% ( -0.3) 3-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.26% Total : 69.47%	0-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.2) 1-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.69%	0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.26% Total : 9.83%